John Lee
Visiting Fellow, Foreign Policy
John is now Adjunct Associate Professor at the Centre for International Security Studies at Sydney University. He is a visiting fellow at the Hudson Institute in Washington as well as the CIS. His research and analysis cover economic, social and political developments within China, Chinese foreign policy, as well as the foreign policies of the US, India, Australia and key states in Southeast Asia such as Singapore, Indonesia and Malaysia. In 2007, John’s book Will China Fail? gained wide media coverage and was updated and reprinted in 2009.
He has dual Bachelor First Class Honours Degrees in Arts (Philosophy) and Laws from UNSW and a Masters and Doctorate in International Relations from University of Oxford whilst on Oxford-Chevening, Overseas Research Studies (ORS), and Oxford Fee Waiver scholarships.
- Email:jlee@cis.org.au
Publications by Author
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Malaysian Dilemma: The Enduring Cancer of Affirmative Action
| 23 Feb 2011 | Foreign Policy AnalysisIn March 2010, Prime Minister Najib Razak announced a New Economic Model (NEM) for Malaysia. These include pledges to wind-back... Read More...
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After the Wall – Reflections on the Legacy of 1989
| 08 Sep 2010 | Occasional PapersWhen the Berlin Wall fell in 1989, it marked the end of the Cold War and of Eastern European communism. Two decades on, The... Read More...
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Unrealised Potential: India’s ‘Soft Power’ Ambition in Asia
| 30 Jun 2010 | Foreign Policy AnalysisThis paper makes the argument that India’s enormous ‘soft power’ potential in Asia is based on the fact that a rising... Read More...
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FEATURE: The Geo-Political Shape of Asia in 2020
| 17 Jun 2010 | POLICY MagazineDespite China's current rise, the strategic environment in Asia is changing more slowly than many believe.
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BOOK REVIEW: When China Rules the World: The Rise of the Middle Kingdom and the End of the Western World
| 17 Jun 2010 | POLICY MagazineWhen China Rules the World: The Rise of the Middle Kingdom and the End of the Western World by Martin Jacques (Allen Lane,... Read More...
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The Fantasy of Taming China’s Rise
| 05 May 2010 | Foreign Policy AnalysisIn The Fantasy of Taming China’s Rise, Dr John Lee, CIS Foreign Policy Research Fellow, argues that the belief that China... Read More...
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The importance of India: restoring sight to Australia’s strategic blind spot
| 05 Nov 2009 | Foreign Policy AnalysisThe paper traces the rise of ‘strategic India’ in Asia, the significance of the remarkable improvement in the US-India... Read More...
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Why America will lead the 'Asian Century'
| 19 Aug 2009 | Foreign Policy AnalysisThe beginning of the end of America’s strategic primacy in Asia is commonly predicted. We are supposed to be entering a... Read More...
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Will China Fail: The Limits and Contradictions of Market Socialism 2nd Edition
| 28 May 2009 | Policy MonographsWith the onset of the global economic crisis, China remains one of the only major economies likely to avoid recession. Released... Read More...
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China’s Insecurity and Search for Power
| 13 Nov 2008 | Issue AnalysisAlthough China feels vulnerable now, there is no doubt that it intends to eventually supersede American power and influence... Read More...
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Putting Democracy in China on Hold
| 28 May 2008 | Issue AnalysisSince the 1989 Tiananmen Square protest, China has moved closer to a market economy but further away from a democratic state.... Read More...
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FEATURE: The False Promise of 'Market Socialism' in China
| 09 Sep 2007 | POLICY MagazineDespite the hype, China is not evolving into a 'successful dictatorship'.
Opinion & Commentary by Author
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Complacency is the danger in Asia's power games
| 01 Aug 2011 | The AustralianEven if one disagrees with Wolfowitz's thinking on the Middle East, this viewpoint on China policy cannot be easily dismissed.... Read More
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Pakistan a Chinese pawn to stall India
| 19 Jul 2011 | The AustralianAT the Shangri-La Dialogue meeting of defence ministers in Singapore last month, Indian Defence Minister Pallam Raju was... Read More
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China’s exports don’t fuel boom
| 06 Jul 2011 | The Washington TimesWhile China undoubtedly needs both for the communist party to remain in power, the dilemma for the country’s leaders is... Read More
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US will Remain the Preeminent Player in Asia
| 01 Jul 2011 | China - US FocusIn early May, I gave an interview to the Chinese state-run Global Times newspaper arguing that China was probably ‘the... Read More
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Beware China's control of rare earth minerals
| 27 Jun 2011 | The Wall Street JournalChina’s rare-earth quota policies will have global repercussions.
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China and the tactical utility of international norms
| 22 Jun 2011 | Australian Strategic Policy InstituteChina is finding it difficult to translate economic size into normative leadership, let alone dominance.
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Missing the woods for the trees
| 21 Jun 2011 | The Hindustan TimesChina won't be happy if India becomes an Asia power.
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China's influence gap
| 06 Jun 2011 | The Wall Street JournalBeijing is finding that translating its economic size into regional strategic and diplomatic leverage is more difficult than... Read More
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Japan's economic demons dog China
| 24 May 2011 | Business SpectatorThe enduring flaws in Japan’s political economy’s continue to stunt its growth.
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China's self-defeating currency policy
| 12 May 2011 | Business WeekAlthough a stronger yuan would be better for the economy, it would hurt the Chinese Communist Party.
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China’s America Obsession:
| 06 May 2011 | Foreign PolicyOsama bin Laden’s death will only accelerate America’s reengagement with its Asian allies and partners at China’s expense.
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PM may trump Rudd in managing China
| 21 Apr 2011 | The AustralianGillard’s lack of foreign policy experience and ambition could well be a blessing in disguise.
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The China hedge
| 04 Apr 2011 | The National InterestBeijing’s mantra of ‘building mutual respect and trust’ remains hollow. Unfortunately, this is unlikely to change since... Read More
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Why Taiwan will fail
| 01 Apr 2011 | The Wall Street JournalTaipei has a plan to make a virtue out of the necessity of greater integration. But Beijing will demand reunification and... Read More
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Cracks in ‘Great Firewall of China’
| 01 Apr 2011 | The Washington TimesA blogger’s disappearance in China reveals nervous despots.
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Good news for Chinese banks, bad news for reforms
| 31 Mar 2011 | ForbesBeijing has been increasing the spread in Chinese banks to improve the quality of their assets. Put simply, the more money... Read More
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Haunted by China's ghost cities
| 29 Mar 2011 | Business SpectatorIf Australia thinks it can avoid the ‘Dutch disease’ by relying on the relentless construction of empty Chinese shopping... Read More
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Why Australia's socialist Prime Minister now loves America
| 11 Mar 2011 | The Weekly StandardHedging against authoritarian China by strengthening the U.S.-led hub-and-spokes security system in the region is now Australia’s... Read More
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Party needs to loosen its grip
| 09 Mar 2011 | The Australian Financial ReviewThe Chinese mode of governance is highly corrupt and dependent on questionable lending practices, while local wards gain... Read More
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Malaysia's phony war on affirmative action
| 04 Mar 2011 | Business WeekPolicies favouring the Malay majority over Chinese and Indian Malaysians must change, but progress so far has been slight.
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The problem with China’s banks – unknown and unknowable
| 02 Mar 2011 | The Asian BankerThe official accounts of China’s banks indicating reasonable financial health simply do make sense. Just as senior banking... Read More
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Egypt's fate could yet be Malaysia's future
| 25 Feb 2011 | The AustralianWhen announcing his "new economic model" last year, Najib became the first Malaysian prime minister to explicitly link the... Read More
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Charm defensive
| 18 Feb 2011 | Hindustan TimesAs the other great foundational civilisation in Asia, India presents a unique challenge to China that other big Asian powers... Read More
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Watching Egypt crumble: Mideast chaos emboldens China's hard-liners
| 04 Feb 2011 | The Washington TimesBut while many Western observers hope the unrest in Egypt might cause the CCP to think twice about maintaining its iron grip,... Read More
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Hu's real agenda
| 21 Jan 2011 | The Wall Street JournalAn improvement in Sino-U.S. diplomatic relations is not the same as cooperation.
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Cooperation and the Chinese Hydra
| 20 Jan 2011 | The National InterestThe Chinese leader does not have the authority to make the hard decisions that Obama will be pressing him to make—meaning... Read More
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How the U.S. Can Manage Expectations of U.S.-China Talks
| 19 Jan 2011 | Time MagazineWhoever is leading China is not a dominant leader with real power, but a figure riding a streak of tigers often pulling in... Read More
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Beijing’s motives behind rare-earth metals
| 03 Jan 2011 | ForbesThere’s a growing suspicion that China is increasingly taking a zero-sum rather than ‘win-win’ approach to open markets... Read More
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Watch out for Russian wild card in Asia-Pacific
| 29 Dec 2010 | The AustralianRussia is pulling out all the stops to court India to maintain its position in Asia's future balance of power.
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People's republics
| 23 Dec 2010 | The Hindustan TimesBy 2040, the world may be talking, not about a Washington or Beijing consensus, but a 'Mumbai Consensus' on economic development.
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China's national insecurity
| 20 Dec 2010 | The Wall Street JournalBeijing sees Liu Xiaobo's Nobel Peace Prize as part of an international strategy to contain China's rise.
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China and India's Growing Energy Rivalry
| 17 Dec 2010 | BusinessweekCompetition for oil and gas resources will be the most likely cause of serious tension between the two Asian giants in the... Read More
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Tearing Chindia apart
| 15 Dec 2010 | Business SpectatorIt was obvious that China and India in particular had coordinated strategies before the summit to scupper any binding agreement.
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Rudd deserves points for confronting some brutal truths
| 06 Dec 2010 | CrikeyThe leaked conversation between Hillary Clinton and Kevin Rudd contradicts the perception that the former Australian prime... Read More
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Chinese want degrees, not democracy
| 03 Dec 2010 | Wall Street JournalAmerican values still have wide, if not universal, appeal. But we cannot ignore the apparent paradox that the young and urbane... Read More
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What if the Chinese Bubble Bursts?
| 01 Dec 2010 | The InterestIf the onset of the global financial crisis in 2008 is any guide, we already know what Beijing will do in the event of a... Read More
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U.S. envoy to ASEAN
| 17 Nov 2010 | The Korea HeraldA productive American relationship with ASEAN, particularly when it joins the East Asia Summit as a full member in 2011,... Read More
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In the Asian century, Washington must still offer leadership
| 09 Nov 2010 | CrikeyTensions between the US and China should not present any fundamental dilemmas for Canberra since the capacity of Beijing... Read More
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The end of the charm offensive
| 26 Oct 2010 | Foreign PolicyChina's neighbours welcome a strong China, just not a dominant one -- and that's where the United States comes in.
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The stakes at the East Asia summit
| 26 Oct 2010 | The Wall Street Journal AsiaBeijing wants to ease America out of the region, but other nations want to entrench the U.S. role.
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China won't revalue the yuan
| 24 Sep 2010 | Foreign PolicyNo amount of hectoring by Barack Obama is going to change the calculus of Chinese leaders. An undervalued currency may be... Read More
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The end of smile diplomacy?
| 23 Sep 2010 | The National InterestBeneath the façade of unity in Chinese decision-making is the gradual but inexorable fragmentation in the formulation of... Read More
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China-Japan tensions will rise
| 22 Sep 2010 | Business SpectatorTension between China and Japan is structural, strategic and institutional – something that can only be managed rather... Read More
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The resurrection of Kevin Rudd
| 13 Sep 2010 | The Wall Street JournalThe question now is whether Mr. Rudd has learned from his mistakes and will be a team player, or whether he plans to use... Read More
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Don’t rush to back Beijing over Delhi
| 13 Sep 2010 | The AustralianWhile China's efficiency hides a brittleness, chaotic India's model is deceptively resilient.
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If only China were more like Japan
| 01 Sep 2010 | Business WeekChina is heading toward a Japanese-style economic debacle and that the process won’t be as gradual or peaceful, says John... Read More
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A world away
| 27 Aug 2010 | Time MagazineWhile candidates in the federal election sidestepped foreign policy for the sake of a few marginal seats, Australians as... Read More
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What China's huge traffic jam reveals
| 27 Aug 2010 | Business SpectatorThe traffic jam in China gives us some insight into a number of things that are good and bad about how China actually works... Read More
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China's water grab
| 24 Aug 2010 | Foreign PolicyForget the South China Sea. If America really cares about strengthening its presence in Asia, it’ll focus on the Mekong... Read More
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China's rise and the road to war
| 05 Aug 2010 | The Wall Street JournalAs with Germany a century ago, an emerging power is overestimating its capabilities, says John Lee in The Wall Street Journal,... Read More
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Obama switching sides over China
| 30 Jul 2010 | Weekly StandardThere is renewed American preparedness to join with regional allies and partners in checking China’s ambition.
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Unpacking the black box
| 30 Jul 2010 | NewsweekChina’s dicey statistics tell us a lot, says John Lee in Newsweek, 30 July 2010.
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A way India can outshine China
| 14 Jul 2010 | Business SpectatorIf India hosts a successful Commonwealth Games in October it will be a pleasant surprise for the region and help to further... Read More
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The uncurious case of Xue Feng’s jail sentence
| 08 Jul 2010 | ForbesThe geologist and U.S. citizen was charged with stealing Chinese state secrets. A case of Deja Hu?
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Hardsell soft power
| 02 Jul 2010 | The Hindustan TimesChina dedicates considerable more resources to building ‘soft’ power than India.
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India needs to flex its soft muscles
| 29 Jun 2010 | The Sydney Morning HeraldNew Delhi would do well to learn lessons from Beijing about the importance of selling its strengths and achievements to the... Read More
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PM Rudd’s demise signals more modest Australian foreign policy
| 25 Jun 2010 | InquirerPrime Minister Gillard’s diplomacy will be much more cautious compared to Kevin Rudd, says John Lee in the Straits Times... Read More
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A well-timed currency kowtow
| 21 Jun 2010 | The Wall Street JournalChina's currency reform is meant to appease foreign politicians, not rebalance the domestic economy.
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India’s edge over China: soft power
| 17 Jun 2010 | Business WeekIn the struggle to win support around Asia, India’s openness gives the country a big advantage compared with China, says... Read More
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China’s got a secret
| 10 Jun 2010 | Foreign PolicyChina’s policy of concealment and fostering uncertainty are the main impediments to deepening its military-to-military... Read More
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Opaqueness at heart of Chinese military’s U.S. strategy
| 10 Jun 2010 | South China Morning PostChinese reluctance to commit to meaningful high level military-to-military talks with America is not as much about Taiwan... Read More
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India’s rise helps complement US interests in Asia
| 04 Jun 2010 | The AustralianThe subcontinent has to prove it can carry its weight in regional diplomacy, says John Lee in The Australian, 4 June 2010.
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Don't buy China's growth mirage
| 24 May 2010 | Business SpectatorRural-to-urban migration is having less and less influence on the rising levels of fixed and asset investment activity occurring... Read More
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EU not on China’s chessboard
| 14 May 2010 | The DiplomatEuropean nations are making a mistake courting China as to maintain relevance they need to align with the US.
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Authoritarian China won’t bow to US policy
| 14 May 2010 | The Australian Financial ReviewAustralia needs to rethink its special relationship with the US if it wants to be China’s friend.
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China will not be tamed
| 06 May 2010 | Business SpectatorShaping Chinese tactics is one thing, but taming China, by attempting to determine its destiny, is another, says John Lee... Read More
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What did Hu expect?
| 30 Mar 2010 | Business SpectatorOnly the willfully stubborn or the ignorant will argue that Stern Hu’s admission of guilt on the charge of bribery means... Read More
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In dealing with Beijing, overambition tends to backfire
| 26 Mar 2010 | The AustralianObama and Rudd are having more trouble with China than Bush and Howard.
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Inflated expectations of a rising yuan
| 24 Mar 2010 | The Australian Financial ReviewChinese inflation in theory can lift the currency, but don’t hold your breath.
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Why China is stepping on toes
| 23 Mar 2010 | Business SpectatorForeign companies will be watching the outcome of the Stern Hu trail very carefully.
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Rudd seeks redemption from Susilo’s visit
| 10 Mar 2010 | New Straits TimesDeepening the bilateral relationship between Jakarta and Canberra ought to be one of the first steps towards any regional... Read More
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China between T-bills and a hard place
| 03 Mar 2010 | The Australian Financial ReviewDespite Beijing’s addiction to US bonds, the proportion of US government debt financed by Chinese foreign exchange reserves... Read More
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Perception gap
| 01 Mar 2010 | Time magazineAmerican faith in the transformative power of China's economic rise might be misplaced.
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Paper tiger: China's no threat to the US
| 01 Mar 2010 | Business WeekSome Chinese leaders think Beijing can use its financial clout to punish the US, but there's little reason for the White... Read More
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Confronting Beijing’s new bipolar reality
| 18 Feb 2010 | The Washington TimesAmerica’s attempts to ‘manage’ China’s rise are failing.
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Big trouble with big China
| 04 Feb 2010 | Foreign PolicyRelations between Washington and Beijing are looking more tense than ever.
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Why China won’t be a ‘responsible stakeholder’
| 02 Feb 2010 | The Wall Street JournalThe U.S.-China bilateral relationship is the most important one in the world. But the flaws in the relationship model constructed... Read More
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China's new Silk Road geo-strategy in Asia
| 29 Jan 2010 | Tehran TimesChina is seeking to change the geostrategic parameters of the existing game for influence in Asia.
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Why Rudd has overstayed his welcome in Asia
| 16 Jan 2010 | The SpectatorJohn Howard had far more gravitas and influence in Australasia than Kevin Rudd, who is starting to look like he doesn’t... Read More
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The future is already here
| 06 Jan 2010 | The DiplomatThere is almost universal agreement that the centre of power is shifting from the Atlantic to the Pacific Oceans in what... Read More
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China’s next generation of leaders
| 03 Jan 2010 | The Taipei TimesThe appointment of five provincial-level Chinese Communist Party chiefs in early December is a reminder that the ascension... Read More
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China’s intransigence is a sign of its insecurity
| 29 Dec 2009 | The AustralianRecent events have convinced many observers that we are entering an unprecedented era marked by rising Chinese power and... Read More
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The rebirth of Charter 08
| 28 Dec 2009 | Wall Street Journal AsiaPresident Barack Obama’s meek visit to China last month confirmed that the United States is taking a much more conciliatory... Read More
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China fears climate change openness
| 23 Dec 2009 | The GuardianBeijing, which fears that external monitoring might reveal internal dysfunction, was backed into a corner by the United States... Read More
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Don’t overlook India’s consumer market for China’s
| 22 Dec 2009 | BusinessWeekUrban consumers in India will likely drive more global business than their Chinese counterparts while India’s rural development... Read More
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Chinese Urbanization Put on Hold
| 19 Dec 2009 | The Korean HeraldBeijing will gradually relax the hukou, or household registration system, to give rural Chinese citizens an opportunity... Read More
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For once it’s better to end with a whimper
| 25 Nov 2009 | The Straits TimesWashington pulls out all the stops for President Barack Obama's first state visitor: Indian Prime Minister Manmohan Singh,... Read More
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Boring summits are better for everyone
| 24 Nov 2009 | Foreign PolicyBarack Obama and Manmohan Singh should say as little as possible when they meet in Washington next week.
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Pacific angst
| 11 Nov 2009 | Foreign PolicyThe very fact that America needs to negotiate with its Asian allies and partners – and sometimes even compromise – means... Read More
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China woos Africa – and not just for its resources
| 09 Nov 2009 | Time magazineWhile much of the world still views Africa as a basket-case continent, Beijing is thinking ahead and busy establishing a... Read More
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Rudd fails to court New Delhi
| 06 Nov 2009 | The AustralianIf Australia wants to remain an active, relevant and influential middle power in Asia, then spending the next half decade... Read More
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India Fast Becoming Asia's 'Swing State'
| 04 Nov 2009 | The Korea HeraldIf India’s unpredictable political parties remain committed to continue reforms, and the bilateral partnership between... Read More
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China's potential enemy is US' good friend
| 03 Nov 2009 | The New Straits TimesIf India’s unpredictable political parties remain committed to continue reforms, and the bilateral partnership between... Read More
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Beijing birthday spin distorts reality
| 02 Oct 2009 | The AustralianAs the week-long celebrations marking the 60th anniversary of the founding of modern China roll on, the message coming out... Read More
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China’s statistical setback
| 01 Oct 2009 | ForbesAlthough China has been decentralizing and officials have multiplied, it is not the building of institutions that encourages... Read More
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The Party's Not Over: Why China's 60th birthday is nothing to celebrate
| 28 Sep 2009 | Foreign PolicyInone important respect, authoritarian China is failing: while the Chinese state is rich and the party powerful, civil society... Read More
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China's Ring of Power
| 09 Sep 2009 | Foreign PolicyWhile nobody was paying attention, Beijing was busy cornering the market on a little-known, but much coveted, strategic commodity.
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Beijing must work to rebuild its reputation
| 26 Aug 2009The Thursday edition of the state-sponsored China Daily led with an editorial defending the cancellation of a visit to Australia... Read More
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The region does not need the PM’s architecture
| 18 Aug 2009 | The AustralianKevin Rudd has consistently lectured the region that some big-picture strategic thinking is needed in Asia.
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US is still a leading influence in the balance of power in Asia
| 16 Aug 2009It seems that not a week goes by without a big-picture thinker releasing a big-picture book or giving a big-picture sermon... Read More
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Why the ‘China functionalists’ might win the battle but lose the war
| 01 Aug 2009The US-China Strategic and Economic Dialogue between Washington and Beijing has begun. Owing to the global financial crisis,... Read More
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Getting Asia's approval for an Indo-US partnership
| 22 Jul 2009 | Opinion AsiaOn her first trip abroad as Secretary of State which was to Asia in March 2009, insiders in both New Delhi and Washington... Read More
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China is not ready to lead the world
| 18 Jul 2009 | Sydney Morning HeraldIn a speech given just before the 17th Chinese Communist Party Congress in 2007, Premier Wen Jiabao rebuked those agitating... Read More
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Foreign Policy: Why Beijing Needs To Be Brutal
| 06 Jul 2009 | Foreign PolicyAfter scolding the West for interfering in the internal affairs of Iran, Beijing’s public relations department will now... Read More
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China's Empty Land Reform
| 04 Jul 2009 | GuardianRecently, Beijing announced new procedures to ‘give an effective guarantee’ to rural citizens that their land rights... Read More
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The rural poor in India fare better than in China
| 02 Jul 2009 | Wall Street Journal AsiaChina and India will likely defy the economic malaise in Western economies and grow at more than 7% this year. But that is... Read More
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Don’t bridge this difference
| 01 Jul 2009 | Active NewsVisitors invariably comment that China is shiny, orderly and clean while India is dusty, chaotic and dirty. In 2006, Prime... Read More
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Beijing's facade of resilience
| 29 Jun 2009 | Asia TimesSome analysts speculate that the turmoil caused by the global financial crisis presents an opportunity for the Chinese government... Read More
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China’s Progress Looks Nothing like Singapore's
| 29 Jun 2009Recent conversations with Chinese political scientists brought home the great extent to which Beijing is obsessed with watching,... Read More
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China no longer learns East Asian lessons
| 23 Jun 2009 | The Korea HeraldWhen the Nobel Prize-winning economist Kenneth Arrow was asked which country had the best managed economy recently, he nominated... Read More
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20 years on from Tiananmen, political reform no closer
| 04 Jun 2009 | ABC NewsWith the twentieth anniversary of the Tiananmen protests today, many would have thought that conditions are better now for... Read More
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Democracy's long march to China
| 03 Jun 2009 | The AustralianLast month, actor Jackie Chan created uproar around the world when he told a gathering in Hainan province that China didn’t... Read More
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PM Rudd still needing strategy lessons from Asian allies
| 31 May 2009 | Opinion AsiaThis weekend, Australian Prime Minister Kevin Rudd was given the honour of delivering the keynote at the annual Shangri-La... Read More
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China’s content consumer class
| 29 May 2009 | Real Clear WorldWith the twentieth anniversary of the Tiananmen protests less than a week away, many would have thought that conditions are... Read More
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Indians vote to become ‘swing state’ in Asia
| 18 May 2009 | Washington TimesCurrent leader Manmohan Singh will become only the second Indian prime minister to win reelection after serving a full five... Read More
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Law forcing Chinese to smoke indicates deeper problem
| 15 May 2009The farce and corruption of many local officials in China is held in check only by the decency and common sense of ordinary... Read More
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Australia is in a bind about China
| 07 May 2009 | Media DaumEver since China's great reformer, Deng Xiaoping, instructed Chinese leaders to "hide brightness, nourish obscurity," the... Read More
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Australia in a bind deciphering China's future intentions
| 06 May 2009 | The China PostEver since China’s great reformer, Deng Xiaoping, instructed Chinese leaders to ‘Hide Brightness, nourish obscurity’,... Read More
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The Waning Challenge of the ‘Authoritarian Capitalists’
| 29 Apr 2009 | The DiplomatCapitalist authoritarian states with their booming economies will be pitted against liberal-democratic counterparts. But... Read More
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China’s much lauded ‘charm offensive’ is hitting a wall
| 04 Apr 2009 | The Sydney Morning HeraldChinese soft power – the ability to get what it wants through persuasion and attraction rather than using the age old approach... Read More
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China’s much lauded ‘charm offensive’ is hitting a wall
| 04 Apr 2009 | The Sydney Morning HeraldChinese soft power – the ability to get what it wants through persuasion and attraction rather than using the age old approach... Read More
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India should have been on Clinton’s Asia itinerary
| 03 Mar 2009 | Opinion AsiaThere is excitement throughout Asia over Secretary of State Hillary Clinton’s choice of the continent for her maiden international... Read More
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Hilary Clinton’s India snub could be a mistake
| 02 Mar 2009 | Opinion AsiaThere is excitement throughout Asia over Secretary of State Hillary Clinton’s choice of the continent for her maiden international... Read More
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Allies wary of focus on China
| 14 Feb 2009 | The Straits TimesSecretary Clinton needs to bring America’s allies with her and not move ahead of them.
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Why China fears Obama: The danger of an attractive America
| 02 Feb 2009 | The New York TimesThe enthusiasm with which Obama’s election was received in Europe will not be replicated in China.
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Over-governed China is the worst governed
| 28 Jan 2009 | New Straits TimesChina may have one official for every 35 people but this does not mean that it is building institutions that encourage public... Read More
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China needs a new way
| 27 Jan 2009 | The AustralianThe Year of the Ox will bring little prosperity for the Chinese people.
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The Year of the Ox will bring little prosperity for the Chinese
| 25 Jan 2009 | The TimesBeijing's “authoritarian capitalist” model has gone as far as it can. Chaos, corruption and indecision have been ignored.
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Double-edged sword in Obama’s use of technology
| 20 Jan 2009 | Online OpinionThe reliance on social networking technology will leave Obama vulnerable in 2012.
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How China bought its graduates' loyalty
| 08 Dec 2008 | The GuardianAttend a dinner party with a random sample of China’s 5 million university graduates each year and in many respects they... Read More
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Why Obama must look to the Pacific before the Atlantic
| 19 Nov 2008 | Opinion AsiaIt is significant that the election of Barack Obama as president of the United States was greeted most warmly by Europeans.... Read More
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Beijing’s stimulus may not help its struggling consumption donkey
| 15 Nov 2008 | International business timeChina likes to think big. It has the Great Wall, Tiananmen Square, and now a mind-boggling US$600 billion economic stimulus... Read More
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Should Australia moderate between the US and China?
| 13 Nov 2008 | Online OpinionEver since the election of Prime Minister Kevin Rudd, editorials in China’s state-sponsored media have been increasingly... Read More
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Land reforms fall short for China farmers
| 13 Nov 2008 | The StandardWith America and Europe facing the likely prospect of deep recession, Asia is looking to China’s potentially huge consumer... Read More
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Why China wants to win
| 13 Nov 2008 | The New York TimeSending a man to the moon was once old news, but not anymore. A space race is occurring between Asia's giants - China, India,... Read More
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Why McCain will be a better ally for Malaysia
| 04 Nov 2008 | New straits TimesThe common wisdom is that a Barack Obama presidency will be better news for Malaysia and Southeast Asia than a John McCain... Read More
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Why McCain will be a better ally for Malaysia
| 03 Nov 2008 | New straits TimesThe common wisdom is that a Barack Obama presidency will be better news for Indonesia and Southeast Asia than a John McCain... Read More
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Plight of Chinese peasants could worsen
| 25 Oct 2008 | The Strait TimesWith the current financial crisis spreading throughout the world, most economists believe more than ever that global economic... Read More
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Tainted Milk Is Part Of A Bigger Problem For Chinese Civil Society
| 25 Sep 2008 | The AustralianThe tainted milk scandal in China – with four deaths and 54,000 children ill and rising – exposes a glaring contradiction... Read More
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Out of whack with Asia
| 18 Jun 2008 | The Straits TimesEarlier this month, Australian Prime Minister Kevin Rudd argued that Australia should learn lessons from the set-up of the... Read More
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PAP replacing PLA as the Party’s army
| 18 Jun 2008 | China BriefFollowing the crackdown of Tibetan protesters in March, President Hu Jintao issued a call for “greater security guarantees”... Read More
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China’s complicit universities
| 09 Jun 2008 | Campus ReviewIt is true that intellectuals tend to give more weight to their role in society than is generally warranted. But it is also... Read More
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Democracy’s slowboat to China getting slower
| 01 Jun 2008 | The GaurdianAround 320,000 Britons visited China in 2007. One of the world’s great cultures has finally embarked on a path towards... Read More
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Reassessing China’s future beyond the Beijing Olympics
| 01 Jun 2008 | AIIA Policy CommentaryChina has averaged double digit growth each year for over three decades and its economy has grown four times in size over... Read More
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Why China’s loyal youth no longer want democracy
| 31 May 2008 | The Weekend AustralianIn the last two decades, China’s economy has tripled in size. The numbers of young, relatively affluent people (15–25... Read More
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Democracy for the few
| 31 May 2008 | The Business SpectatorChina’s transformation from the backward, autocratic economy of just three decades ago is probably the most spectacular... Read More
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‘China’s unbalanced economy providing silver lining
| 30 May 2008 | The AgeChinese leaders and economists have been saying for a decade that its economy is pulled by two strong horses and one weak... Read More
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Democracy’s slowboat to China getting slower
| 28 May 2008 | The Canberra TimesFigures released suggest that in early 2009, there will be over 200 million Internet users in China which will be more than... Read More
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Bachelors wreaking havoc in China
| 28 May 2008 | The Courier MailChina’s leaders seem to be good at fixing big problems. They have transformed a backward economy into perhaps the most... Read More
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A rotting core: the other side of China’s miracle
| 12 Mar 2008 | The Sydney Morning HeraldAsk many Chinese parents (like mine) anywhere in the world what they wanted their kids to be when they grow up and the chances... Read More
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Tibetan monks fuelling Beijing's paranoia
| 10 Mar 2008 | The AustralianWhen the monks in Burma led protests against the military junta last September, China initially reacted by making the usual... Read More
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What does China really want from the Pacific?
| 05 Dec 2007 | Islands BusinessWhy is China so interested in the Pacific? After all, despite the differences in size, population, wealth, and influence... Read More
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Medicare becoming a luxury we cannot afford
| 31 Oct 2007 | Unleashed BlogMedicare is becoming an anachronism. The ``free and universal'' taxpayer-funded health systems of the twentieth century were... Read More
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Capital flows the wrong way in China
| 25 Oct 2007 | The Australian Financial ReviewChina has recently indicated that it intends to move away from an investment-driven growth strategy toward a consumption... Read More
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The danger of pursuing ‘Harmony’ in Chinese foreign policy
| 24 Oct 2007 | The Canberra TimesThe recently concluded five-yearly congress in Beijing reaffirmed two things. First, President Hu Jintao is unchallenged... Read More
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China's syndrome of lawless growth
| 20 Oct 2007 | The AustralianOne of the writers who best understood the phenomenon of totalitarianism in the 20th century, British historian Robert Conquest,... Read More
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Will the China boom last? – don’t bet your house on it
| 10 Oct 2007 | The West AustralianAsk anyone in Western Australia whether China presents an economic risk or opportunity and there will be few takers for the... Read More
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China: Death of the Dragon?
| 14 Nov 2006 | The New MatildaIn his final press conference as Chinese Premier in March 2003, Zhu Rongji confidently declared that, ‘all the tasks needed... Read More
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Why Kevin Rudd’s ‘security community’ will annoy Asia
| 30 Nov -0001 | National Business ReviewNew Zealand places a lot of emphasis on multilateralism and a rules-based foreign policy. Last week, Australian Prime Minister... Read More
Ideas@TheCentre by Author
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The famous and infamous Paul Wolfowitz
| 29 Jul 2011 | Ideas@The CentrePaul Wolfowitz and his ideas about China.
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‘Death of a 54-year-old family father’
| 06 May 2011 | Ideas@The CentreBin Laden’s death generates a myriad of responses – from the sensible to the ridiculous.
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Moving Malaysia on from affirmative action policies
| 25 Feb 2011 | Ideas@The CentreAn honest conversation about the costs of race-based affirmative action is finally beginning in Malaysia.
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No one cares about human rights in China these days... except the Chinese people
| 28 Jan 2011 | Ideas@The CentreChinese leaders remain defensive and fearful when it comes to the issue of human rights.
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The North Korea mystery
| 26 Nov 2010 | Ideas@The CentreBut there is a serious problem in preventing disaster in the region: experts know next to nothing about what we need to know... Read More
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'Team Clinton' on the rise in Asia
| 12 Nov 2010 | Ideas@The CentreClinton's combative attitude towards China entrenches American foreign policy interests in the rest of Asia.
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Look beyond the 'Con Games' for India's potential
| 24 Sep 2010 | Ideas@The CentreThe Indian government is in crisis mode following the disastrous lead-up to the Commonwealth Games, which begins next month... Read More
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The Dragon & the Elephant: Five myths about China versus India
| 03 Sep 2010 | Ideas@The CentreMyth 1: China's authoritarian system sacrifices rights for social orderIn fact, there is far more chaos and unrest in China... Read More
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Affirmative action policies in Malaysia prove costly
| 23 Jul 2010 | Ideas@The CentreMalaysia’s affirmative action policies may prove costly for the country’s future economic and ideological shape, with... Read More
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When liking India isn't Enough
| 02 Jul 2010 | Ideas@The CentreThe Chicago Council on Global Affairs recently surveyed respondents in the United States, China, Russia, Germany, United... Read More
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Europe not on Chinese Chessboard
| 07 May 2010 | Ideas@The CentreThe visits of Nicolas Sarkozy and the President of the European Union to China last week is the latest attempt to revive... Read More
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Should foreign companies in China 'do a google'?
| 01 Apr 2010 | Ideas@The CentreOnly the willfully stubborn or ignorant will argue that Rio Tinto executive Stern Hu’s admission of guilt on the charge... Read More
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Rudd attempts to regain foreign policy credentials with Yudhoyono's visit
| 12 Mar 2010 | Ideas@The CentreThe four-day visit by Indonesian President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono and Prime Minister Kevin Rudd achieved little in terms... Read More
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Obama ditches soft approach towards China
| 05 Feb 2010 | Ideas@The CentreIf 2009 was the year of treating China with kid gloves, 2010 is likely to be much more tumultuous with President Barack Obama... Read More
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Chinese appeasement irks Indians
| 04 Dec 2009 | Ideas@The CentrePresident Barrack Obama’s choice of Indian Prime Minister Manmohan Singh as his first state visitor last week was meant... Read More
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Taking India seriously
| 06 Nov 2009 | Ideas@The CentreWashington as well as Asian capitals such as Tokyo, Jakarta, Singapore and Hanoi has been busily courting New Delhi with... Read More
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Why America Will Lead the 'Asian Century'
| 21 Aug 2009 | Ideas@The CentreThe decline of American influence in Asia is exaggerated. True, power and influence are built on the back of economic success... Read More
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Why China will not become like Singapore
| 26 Jun 2009 | Ideas@The CentreRecent conversations with Chinese political scientists brought home the great extent to which Beijing is obsessed with watching,... Read More
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China Inc’s March debacle
| 03 Apr 2009 | Ideas@The CentreMarch has been a terrible month for the China Inc brand in Australia and enormously annoying for Beijing.
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Shooting reinforces Pakistan’s rogue status
| 06 Mar 2009 | Ideas@The CentreIt is not yet clear who was behind the Tuesday terrorist attack in Lahore against the Sri Lankan cricket team.

